why this blog?

Likelihood Ratio (LR) in Emergency Medicine

5/14/2013

PCT and pneumonia: worth it?


Clinical Scenario

A 78 yo woman is brought from an assisted-living facility because of dyspnea and fever. 
She has an history of dyabetes and heart failure. She is confused, tachipnoic, tachicardic and febrile with rales on the back. Chest X ray shows an infiltrate. PCT value is 1,5 µg/L. 



Does PCT provide prognostic information concerning mortality risk or adverse event in pneumonia? 












Conclusion 

Both risks score (PSI and CURB-65) developed for the patient discusses above are high. The patient has an high risk for mortality and adverse event. The performance of PCT on admission predicting bad events for a patient with pneumonia is very poor. 

It’s time to stop PCT for pneumonia?



Bibliography 

P.Schuetz 
Prognostic value of procalcitonin in community-acquired pneumonia.
Eur Respir J 2011 vol 37 pagg 384-392


Ciro Paolillo



….to be continued
Read more...

4/22/2013

How have you come to the hospital?


Clinical Scenario

It’s just started your night shift, Sara is a young EP, she is going home after an hard day.  Hello - she says tired - could you help me? There is a guy with abdominal pain and nausea. I think it could be appendicitis, but there is not fever and not leukocytosis. 



Have you asked if he arrived by car? - You say
No, why? 








Conclusion

Can a speed bump positive test be an effective tool for diagnosis of acute appendicitis?
Compared with classics signs and symptoms of appendicitis a speed bump negative sign performs better. On the other hand a positive test is not specific for acute appendicitis, you can find it also in other conditions like ruptured ovarian cysts or diverticulitis. 

Ambulance and car drivers, take note!!! 


Bibliography 

HF Ashdown 
Pain over speed bumps in diagnosis of acute appendicitis: diagnostic accuracy study. 
BMJ 2012; 345:e8012

R.E.B. Anderson
Meta-analysis of the clinical and laboratory diagnosis of appendicitis
British Journal of Surgery 2004; 91: 28-37


Ciro Paolillo




Read more...

4/10/2013

Imaging strategies of suspected acute colonic diverticulitis: how does it work?

Clinical scenario

A 66 yo man complains of left lower quadrant (LLQ) pain, anoressia and fever, it is the first time. The pain is acute, there is not vomit, temperature is 38°C. Abdomen is treatable, with severe pain and tenderness localized at LLQ , there is not history of prior abdominal surgery. Probably this patient suffers of an acute colonic diverticulitis (ACD).



Is Computer Thomography (CT) the imaging procedure of choice for this patient? 


Read more...

4/02/2013

To fill or not to fill? Try to raise the legs...


Clinical Scenario


A 54 y/o man is brought to the ED because his wife has found him semiunconscious in the morning, he has  not significant clincal history and does not take medicaments, he presents hypoperfused, arterial pressure is 90/50 and MAP is 63, lactate is 7 mmol/L and hemoglobin is 14 g/dl. Inferior vena cava diameter is 1,5 cm. Respiratory variation of inferior vena cava is about 25%
Yours is a diagnosis of shock, your dilemma is if he will respond or instead be harmed by fluid administration, you a have a 50% possibility, you can flip a coin or maybe raise the patient’s legs….


Read more...

3/07/2013

Diagnosis of diverticulitis with hands and blood tests. Is it a good idea?


Clinical Scenario

A 66 yo man complains of left lower quadrant (LLQ) abdominal pain from 4/5 hours. The pain is described as crampy initially, than continuous, there is not vomit. Temperature is 37.5°C. Abdomen is treatable, with moderate pain and tenderness localized at LLQ , there is not history of prior abdominal surgery. 
ED US excluded the specter of an AAA.
WBC 13.000/μl
CPR: 51 mg/L

Probably this patient suffers of an acute diverticulitis. 
Is it an urgent imaging necessary to confirm the diagnosis? 


Read more...

2/25/2013

Is CRP useful alone to support the hypotesis of a bacteremia?


Clinical Scenario

It’s a very cold February, but ED is very hot in every sense of the word. 
A 22 y/o student refers stomach pain, chills, fever and diffuse muscolar pain. He has fever (38° C) there is a mild diffuse abdominal pain. 
The CRP value is 30 mg/L. 
Are there flu symptoms, or it is a bacteremia?



Can we use the CRP test for change our clinical suspicion? 


Read more...

2/16/2013

Malaria or just fever?


Clinical Scenario

A 35 y/o man is brought to the ED by friends and left there alone, he has high fever, he is from Ghana and he has just arrived, he speaks english not so well and he is confused and agitated, so anamnesis is very difficult and you catch a only word “malaria”, you also know that africans often calls malaria every fever, but …
Clinical examination is normal except for the agitation state, but fever is very high (40,5°C), he has not headhache, no cough, no abdominal pain. It is night and microbiologist is not available for malaria microscopy test and you decide to perform, for the first time in your life, the rapid test…it is negative…





Can you trust it or the patient?


Read more...